Wednesday 15 April 2009

Wolves v QPR, Saturday 18th April

My Thoughts

This game, along with other results going their way, could potentially see Wolves clinch automatic promotion back to the Premier League for the first time since 2003/2004. To do so, they must get a result against QPR, arguably the most inconsistent side in the Championship. Their 3-2 win against Sheffield Wednesday on Monday perhaps represented their season in some kind of microcosm- 2-0 down (and deservedly so) early on, one of the goals a total fluke from a corner, they then roared back to win 3-2, with 3 goals coming in a much-improved second half performance. All this from a side who yet again find themselves without a permanent manager, following Paulo Sousa's recent dismissal, and the installation of Gareth Ainsworth as caretaker for the 178th time.
Looking at the 2 sides' respective W-D-L records, this should be a comfortable home win. At Molineux this season, Wolves are 13-5-3, scoring 42 goals and conceding 21, which works out at an average of exactly 2 goals scored each game, with exactly 1 conceded. QPR's away record this season is poor (3-9-9), without an away win in their last 6 away games, scoring just 13 times away from Loftus Road this season, the joint-lowest total in the Championship.
Wolves will be without prolific striker Chris Iwelumo (as a Scot, associating "prolific" with "Iwelumo" just does not feel right), however they do still have a variety of attacking options to call upon. Mick McCarthy will probably start with 2 from Sam Vokes, Andy Keogh and Marlon Harewood in an attacking 4-4-2 formation, with Matt Jarvis likely to provide support from the wing. QPR, in reality, have nothing left to play for, with the play-offs, to all intents and purposes, beyond them. Perhaps their only motivation will be to impress any prospective new manager watching.

The Verdict
Can't really see past Wolves for this one. They had a major blip in form just after Christmas, but look to have recovered from it. The addition to the defence of Christophe Berra has helped the side massively. Home win

The Bet
Andy Keogh scored twice in Wolves' 3-2 win at Derby on Monday. Back him to score anytime in this one (best price 15/8 Paddy Power)

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