My Thoughts
Two sides here both going reasonably well. Stoke's recent good form has taken them on to the 39 point mark, ever increasing the possibility of them playing Premier League football next season, while Fulham have played themselves into contention for a Europa League place. Form-wise, Fulham's home record is excellent (9-3-4, 7th best home record in the league), while Stoke have managed just 1 win on their travels this season (and that was against West Brom). Therefore, the obvious conclusion to come to would be a home win. Both these sides tend to take the vast majority of their points at home (82% of Stoke's points have come at the Britannia, with 68% of Fulham's at Craven Cottage), so expect Fulham to take all 3 points here
The Verdict
While Stoke have been improving throughout the season (they now sit 12th in the league, with a number of winnable fixtures remaining, should 39 points not be enough to keep them up), the emphasis has been on their home form, which somewhat overlooks a dreadful away record. Can't see past a home win.
The Bet
Fulham can be backed at a general 4/5, but given the form of Mark Schwarzer, it might be worthwhile backing a home clean sheet (best price 6/5 with William Hill)
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