Tuesday 21 April 2009

Energie Cottbus v Wolfsburg, Sunday 26th April

My Thoughts

Wolfsburg are flying right now- top of the Bundesliga, 10 wins in a row, Grafite scoring goals for fun, Felix Magath's side have given themselves a real chance of winning the title in what has been an extremely close-fought title race. Cottbus, on the other hand, are firmly entrenched in a relegation battle, and face a real task in trying to get anything from the clash at the Stadion auf Freundshaft (Stadium of Friendship. No, really). Their recent form is poor: only 2 wins from their last 8 games, and the reverse fixture in November resulted in a comfortable 3-0 win for Wolfsburg.

The Verdict
It's extremely difficult to see past Wolfsburg winning here. Although they have only 4 away wins under their belts this season, those were their last 4 games, including a 2-1 win away at Cottbus' relegation rivals Borussia Monchengladbach. With no UEFA Cup campaign to distract them, Wolfsburg should be at full-strength, and should win here. Away win

The Bet
Wolfsburg to win (best price 4/6 with Betfred). The reason I'm posting this so far in advance is because I don't expect this price to last. I really cannot overstate how good a price I think this is

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