2 more last-16 games for me to preview (totally not rushing here. Honest)
Argentina v Switzerland
I'll get the headline out of the way first: Switzerland are going to win. Now, to explain: Argentina as a TEAM have simply not been all that impressive so far- far too reliant on Messi in attack, uncertain defensively and far too cautious in midfield- witness coach Alejandro Sabella's insistence on retaining 2 defensive midfielders (Mascherano and Gago) when striving to break down a resilient Iran defence. With Sergio Aguero set to miss this game, Sabella will be forced to look to his bench where, quite frankly, he does not have the same quality of replacements. Ezequiel Lavezzi is Aguero's most likely replacement and while he does offer considerable pace, his finishing lets him down far too often. Sabella's other options include the workmanlike but limited Rodrigo Palacio, or a return to the 5-3-2 shape with which they looked distinctly unimpressive in their opening game v Bosnia. Switzerland, meanwhile, have flown under the radar somewhat in Brazil. As expected, they qualified in 2nd place from their group, edging past Ecuador, being picked off ruthlessly by France, before making light work of Honduras. Ottmar Hitzfeld has a very neat, tidy, well-balanced side with plenty of youthful endeavour and, in Xherdan Shaqiri, a genuine world-class attacker. Lionel Messi isn't the only top-quality diminutive left-footed playmaking genius on display here. There's another big shock coming in this tournament
The verdict: Switzerland will eventually beat Argentina- or Argentina will beat themselves (their World Cup knockout stages record is awful)
The bet: Switzerland to qualify at best odds of 7/2 general
Belgium v USA
Much-hyped (over-hyped in this writer's humble opinion) before the tournament, Belgium cruised through their group as expected, although it took some considerable time, and a switching to plan B, to do so in each game- 4 goals from 3 games is also less than the return than many were expecting from such a talented attack. The USA lack the individual quality of Belgium (and indeed arguably any side still in the competition bar Costa Rica). However, there's an outstanding team spirit in their side fostered by Jürgen Klinsmann (one can easily picture him being quite the motivational speaker), plus some players of genuine potential- tireless right-back Fabian Johnson has been a real find, while Clint Dempsey has excelled all across the front line. This could be a slow-burner.
The verdict: For various reasons, it'll take more than 90 minutes to separate these two
The bet: The draw is available at 5/2 general. You'll get 11/10 with Youwin on a draw at half-time too
"ARE YOU COMING ON TO ME?"
Monday 30 June 2014
Sunday 29 June 2014
SPOILER ALERT: Maggie Did It
Now, to continue what I started yesterday:
Costa Rica v Greece
Let's be honest: who expected this to be a last 16 match? While Costa Rica were never going to simply roll over as whipping boys in Group D, their progress as group winners was still a sizeable shock. Greece, meanwhile, were, well, Greece- for the most part as exciting as watching paint dry, but remorselessly effective at frustrating stronger opponents. This Greece side are actually slightly more proactive than in previous years (watch for Torosidis and Holebas venturing forward from full-back). With both sides in unchartered territory, and in with a chance of progressing even further, one has to expect both sides will favour a cautious approach, at least to begin with.
The verdict: it might take extra-time and penalties, but Greece's tournament nous might just take them to the last 8
The bet: half-time score 0-0 at 5/4 general
France v Nigeria
This game has the potential to be just about anything- a wild, end-to-end classic, a demolition job by either team, or a cagey, nervy snoozefest. France rung the changes for their final group game v Ecuador, so a) they have fresh legs to bring in to face Stephen Keshi's mobile, athletic Nigeria side, and b) don't read too much into their slightly below-par performance. Nigeria impressed in their 3-2 defeat to Argentina, only eventually being undone by 2 moments of magic from Lionel Messi. They can run France close in this one, but there's a suspicion that their outstanding goalkeeper Vincent Enyeama will have just a bit too much work to do behind a somewhat porous defence. Slightly depressingly, the usual worries over bonus payments have started up, too
The verdict: France to edge an entertaining encounter
The bet: Both teams to score at 11/10 general
Germany v Algeria
Algeria were vastly underestimated by many- they frustrated Belgium for long spells, impressively brushed aside South Korea and then did the job required of them against, it has to be said, a disappointing Russia side to progress from Group H. Germany comfortably topped their group- with their vast array of attacking options, they shouldn't struggle for goals. The call for Jogi Low for this game should be to bring in Miroslav Klose from the start- Algeria's eventual undoing against Belgium came as a result of an alarming inability to defend against crosses, and it's that glaring weakness that, even with a talented midfield, will prove their undoing here
The verdict: Germany to win a gaols-laden match
The bet: over 3.5 goals at best odds of 13/8 with Coral
Costa Rica v Greece
Let's be honest: who expected this to be a last 16 match? While Costa Rica were never going to simply roll over as whipping boys in Group D, their progress as group winners was still a sizeable shock. Greece, meanwhile, were, well, Greece- for the most part as exciting as watching paint dry, but remorselessly effective at frustrating stronger opponents. This Greece side are actually slightly more proactive than in previous years (watch for Torosidis and Holebas venturing forward from full-back). With both sides in unchartered territory, and in with a chance of progressing even further, one has to expect both sides will favour a cautious approach, at least to begin with.
The verdict: it might take extra-time and penalties, but Greece's tournament nous might just take them to the last 8
The bet: half-time score 0-0 at 5/4 general
France v Nigeria
This game has the potential to be just about anything- a wild, end-to-end classic, a demolition job by either team, or a cagey, nervy snoozefest. France rung the changes for their final group game v Ecuador, so a) they have fresh legs to bring in to face Stephen Keshi's mobile, athletic Nigeria side, and b) don't read too much into their slightly below-par performance. Nigeria impressed in their 3-2 defeat to Argentina, only eventually being undone by 2 moments of magic from Lionel Messi. They can run France close in this one, but there's a suspicion that their outstanding goalkeeper Vincent Enyeama will have just a bit too much work to do behind a somewhat porous defence. Slightly depressingly, the usual worries over bonus payments have started up, too
The verdict: France to edge an entertaining encounter
The bet: Both teams to score at 11/10 general
Germany v Algeria
Algeria were vastly underestimated by many- they frustrated Belgium for long spells, impressively brushed aside South Korea and then did the job required of them against, it has to be said, a disappointing Russia side to progress from Group H. Germany comfortably topped their group- with their vast array of attacking options, they shouldn't struggle for goals. The call for Jogi Low for this game should be to bring in Miroslav Klose from the start- Algeria's eventual undoing against Belgium came as a result of an alarming inability to defend against crosses, and it's that glaring weakness that, even with a talented midfield, will prove their undoing here
The verdict: Germany to win a gaols-laden match
The bet: over 3.5 goals at best odds of 13/8 with Coral
Friday 27 June 2014
Am I Insane? I Ask Myself Over And Over Again
32 came. 16 have been sent home with their tails between their legs. How will the remaining 16 do? Let's have a gander at some of the 2nd round games: (that 1st bit works really well if you imagine Gerard Butler reading it in a deep, serious voice. The 2nd bit less so)
Brazil v Chile
Brazil topped their group, but looked far from impressive for long spells, most notably versus Croatia (where a couple of questionable refereeing decisions went their way) and Mexico (who were full value for their draw), before comfortably dispatching of a clearly demotivated Cameroon. It's clear that, Neymar aside, this is a functional unit that lacks real quality in attack- were they not called Brazil and playing on home soil, there's no way they'd be anywhere near as heavily fancied as they are. Chile, on the other hand, have been genuinely thrilling, dispatching of Spain with an eye-catching intensity and all-out commitment to attack. Their "meh" attitude to defending will most likely prevent them from winning the tournament at some point, but, having already seen off the reigning champions, there's every reason to reckon they can put the hosts out too.
Verdict: Chile to triumph in a topsy-turvy, wild and wacky match
The bet: Chile draw no bet at best odds of 15/4 with 888sport
Colombia v Uruguay
Arguably the best team of the tournament so far, with arguably its best player (James Rodriguez) as its creative fulcrum, Colombia were extremely impressive in making light work of their group. They have a plethora of quality striking options, with plenty of support from midfield (the aforementioned James is the star, but don't overlook the tricky, direct, powerful Juan Cuadrado on the right, and the wonderfully talented diminutive playmaker Juan Quintero) and adventurous full-backs, they could be at this tournament for some time. Uruguay, meanwhile, only just managed to scrap their way out of their group- this looks like the end of the line for some of the more experienced among their rank, while apart from the impressive young centre-back Jose Maria Gimenez, there aren't yet the quality of replacements coming through. With their main attacking threat now muzzled, they're on their way home.
Verdict: Colombia to break down stubborn Uruguay resistance
The bet: Colombia to win at best odds of 21/20 with Paddy Power
Holland v Mexico
This should be a fascinating tactical battle. Louis van Gaal has arguably been the best coach of the tournament so far, shifting his side effortlessly from 5-3-2 to 4-3-3 and back as circumstances require. His players have shown remarkable commitment to his ideals, too- witness Wesley Sneijder chasing Chilean midfielders all over the park, and Dirk Kuyt putting in a shift at left wing-back. Mexico, too, will use 5-3-2 initially, also with a significant degree of flexibility- both wing-backs will bomb on at will, while Rafael Marquez is more than capable of carrying the ball out of defence. Giovani dos Santos should again operate just off Oribe Peralta in attack, which will pose plenty of questions for van Gaal.
Verdict: Holland to just edge an intriguing encounter
The bet: Holland to win at best odds of 23/20 with Bet Victor
IF I STAY OUT OF THE PUB, THE REST OF THE GAMES WILL BE PREVIEWED OVER THE WEEKEND
Brazil v Chile
Brazil topped their group, but looked far from impressive for long spells, most notably versus Croatia (where a couple of questionable refereeing decisions went their way) and Mexico (who were full value for their draw), before comfortably dispatching of a clearly demotivated Cameroon. It's clear that, Neymar aside, this is a functional unit that lacks real quality in attack- were they not called Brazil and playing on home soil, there's no way they'd be anywhere near as heavily fancied as they are. Chile, on the other hand, have been genuinely thrilling, dispatching of Spain with an eye-catching intensity and all-out commitment to attack. Their "meh" attitude to defending will most likely prevent them from winning the tournament at some point, but, having already seen off the reigning champions, there's every reason to reckon they can put the hosts out too.
Verdict: Chile to triumph in a topsy-turvy, wild and wacky match
The bet: Chile draw no bet at best odds of 15/4 with 888sport
Colombia v Uruguay
Arguably the best team of the tournament so far, with arguably its best player (James Rodriguez) as its creative fulcrum, Colombia were extremely impressive in making light work of their group. They have a plethora of quality striking options, with plenty of support from midfield (the aforementioned James is the star, but don't overlook the tricky, direct, powerful Juan Cuadrado on the right, and the wonderfully talented diminutive playmaker Juan Quintero) and adventurous full-backs, they could be at this tournament for some time. Uruguay, meanwhile, only just managed to scrap their way out of their group- this looks like the end of the line for some of the more experienced among their rank, while apart from the impressive young centre-back Jose Maria Gimenez, there aren't yet the quality of replacements coming through. With their main attacking threat now muzzled, they're on their way home.
Verdict: Colombia to break down stubborn Uruguay resistance
The bet: Colombia to win at best odds of 21/20 with Paddy Power
Holland v Mexico
This should be a fascinating tactical battle. Louis van Gaal has arguably been the best coach of the tournament so far, shifting his side effortlessly from 5-3-2 to 4-3-3 and back as circumstances require. His players have shown remarkable commitment to his ideals, too- witness Wesley Sneijder chasing Chilean midfielders all over the park, and Dirk Kuyt putting in a shift at left wing-back. Mexico, too, will use 5-3-2 initially, also with a significant degree of flexibility- both wing-backs will bomb on at will, while Rafael Marquez is more than capable of carrying the ball out of defence. Giovani dos Santos should again operate just off Oribe Peralta in attack, which will pose plenty of questions for van Gaal.
Verdict: Holland to just edge an intriguing encounter
The bet: Holland to win at best odds of 23/20 with Bet Victor
IF I STAY OUT OF THE PUB, THE REST OF THE GAMES WILL BE PREVIEWED OVER THE WEEKEND
Friday 13 June 2014
We're Heading For Venus, And Still We Stand Tall
And we're off!
A tremendous game last night got Group A underway, but there's still (just) time to take a quick look at the groups I've not yet written up:
Group C- Cruising Through The Heat Lap Trial
This group was shook up when Colombia confirmed that they would be without Falcao this summer. Without him, Colombia are still a perfectly decent side, although they now arguably lack the world-class Number 9 who can get them out of trouble in the later stages. They should still win (and probably top) this group, but they're not quite of the same level as the sides generally in with a chance of winning the tournament. They're an adventurous side under Argentinian boss Jose Pekerman (Argentina's head coach at the 2006 World Cup), and Falcao's potential replacements are all of respectable pedigree- the industrious, workmanlike (although not in Falcao's league when it comes to finishing) Sevilla striker Carlos Bacca, Dortmund-bound Adrian Ramos, River Plate's unpredictable livewire Teo Gutierrez and Porto's cha-cha dancing Jackson Martinez. Pekerman usually played 2 upfront during qualifying, and will likely continue that philosophy in Brazil, certainly in the group stages. The main supply for the striker(s) will come from the wings, where Monaco's James Rodriguez from the left and Fiorentina's Juan Cuadrado from the right, both wonderfully direct and more than capable of getting on the scoresheet themselves, will provide support, themselves ably assisted by rampaging full-backs Pablo Armero (left) and Juan Zuniga (right). All this, however, does leave the central areas exposed. With 38 year old Mario Yepes (still commanding aerially, but with about as much pace on the turn as you'd expect from a 38 year old) occupying 1 central defensive berth (alongside him will be Carlos Valdes), don't expect too much adventure from central midfield (especially not with 2 Napoli wing-backs in the full-back positions). The main worry here is that with so many potent attacking players bombing on, and a defence that will surely be inclined to sit relatively deep, there could be massive spaces opening up between Colombia's defence and midfield. While Greece lack the creative talent to exploit those spaces, Japan a defence resolute enough to contain Colombia's potent attack, and Ivory Coast a combination of the 2, Colombia will surely come unstuck against the very top teams in the tournament. They'll be great fun to watch, though.
Of the rest of the teams in Group C, Ivory Coast are perhaps the most (over?) hyped of the 3. As always, there's no shortage of talented, powerful attacking players (even though the talismanic Didier Drogba is some way past his best, and should come under pressure for his starting place from Wilfried Bony). Support will come from Yaya Toure (given more freedom under Sabri Lamouchi) and widemen Salomon Kalou and the rejuvenated Gervinho- providing all are on form (and Toure's long season hasn't affected his output) there are enough goals in this team to get through. The defence, though, is an area of considerable concern. A central defensive partnership of Kolo Toure and Souleymane Bamba ,with Boubacar Barry behind them, is about as defensively secure as it sounds, and while full-backs Serge Aurier and Arthur Boka are both fine going forward, their lack of height leaves them vulnerable to back-post crosses (particularly if Gervinho and Kalou don't track the adventurous full-backs they will face in the group stage (yes, even Greece's full-backs will get forward. A bit). Japan are a neat, tidy side with some accomplished players in midfield (Keisuke Honda and Shinji Kagawa being the standouts), while plenty of their number have made their way to the Bundesliga recently. Like Colombia and Ivory Coast, scoring goals shouldn't be the problem for Alberto Zaccheroni's side- it's the defence that causes concern, where both height and a convincing goalkeeper are lacking. Greece, on the other hand, are a much more obdurate, resilient bunch. The tried and tested formula from their historic Euro 2004 triumph has been retained, even though only Giorgios Karagounis remains from that side (and he now plays a completely different role- the former number 10 is now stationed at the base of midfield as a scrapper). There have been a few tweaks to the side since 2004- expect to see the full-backs be given a bit more license to push forward (on the right will be Vasilis Torosidis, who was signed for Roma by Zdenek Zeman. Enoguh said), and the back line probably won't be quite as deep as previously. But the overall gameplan won't change- Greece will be extremely compact and hard-working without the ball, and not over-commit with it, instead hoping to win set-pieces to try and nick games 1-0 (incidentally, 5 of their 12 qualifiers ended with such a scoreline in their favour). If Greece are playing on any given evening, it's probably worth your while spending that afternoon painting a wall, so you've got something more exciting to do when the game starts by watching said Dulux Emulsion dry. It won't be pretty, but there's enough defensive nous (and enough weaknesses in the defences of their group rivals) to see Greece sneak into the second round
BETTING:
Colombia to win Group C: best odds 19/20 with Spreadex
Greece Stage of Elimination Round 2: best odds 7/2 with Coral
Ivory Coast v Japan over 2.5 goals and both teams to score: best odds 7/4 with bet365
GAS MAN! GAS MAN! GAS MAN!
A tremendous game last night got Group A underway, but there's still (just) time to take a quick look at the groups I've not yet written up:
Group C- Cruising Through The Heat Lap Trial
This group was shook up when Colombia confirmed that they would be without Falcao this summer. Without him, Colombia are still a perfectly decent side, although they now arguably lack the world-class Number 9 who can get them out of trouble in the later stages. They should still win (and probably top) this group, but they're not quite of the same level as the sides generally in with a chance of winning the tournament. They're an adventurous side under Argentinian boss Jose Pekerman (Argentina's head coach at the 2006 World Cup), and Falcao's potential replacements are all of respectable pedigree- the industrious, workmanlike (although not in Falcao's league when it comes to finishing) Sevilla striker Carlos Bacca, Dortmund-bound Adrian Ramos, River Plate's unpredictable livewire Teo Gutierrez and Porto's cha-cha dancing Jackson Martinez. Pekerman usually played 2 upfront during qualifying, and will likely continue that philosophy in Brazil, certainly in the group stages. The main supply for the striker(s) will come from the wings, where Monaco's James Rodriguez from the left and Fiorentina's Juan Cuadrado from the right, both wonderfully direct and more than capable of getting on the scoresheet themselves, will provide support, themselves ably assisted by rampaging full-backs Pablo Armero (left) and Juan Zuniga (right). All this, however, does leave the central areas exposed. With 38 year old Mario Yepes (still commanding aerially, but with about as much pace on the turn as you'd expect from a 38 year old) occupying 1 central defensive berth (alongside him will be Carlos Valdes), don't expect too much adventure from central midfield (especially not with 2 Napoli wing-backs in the full-back positions). The main worry here is that with so many potent attacking players bombing on, and a defence that will surely be inclined to sit relatively deep, there could be massive spaces opening up between Colombia's defence and midfield. While Greece lack the creative talent to exploit those spaces, Japan a defence resolute enough to contain Colombia's potent attack, and Ivory Coast a combination of the 2, Colombia will surely come unstuck against the very top teams in the tournament. They'll be great fun to watch, though.
Of the rest of the teams in Group C, Ivory Coast are perhaps the most (over?) hyped of the 3. As always, there's no shortage of talented, powerful attacking players (even though the talismanic Didier Drogba is some way past his best, and should come under pressure for his starting place from Wilfried Bony). Support will come from Yaya Toure (given more freedom under Sabri Lamouchi) and widemen Salomon Kalou and the rejuvenated Gervinho- providing all are on form (and Toure's long season hasn't affected his output) there are enough goals in this team to get through. The defence, though, is an area of considerable concern. A central defensive partnership of Kolo Toure and Souleymane Bamba ,with Boubacar Barry behind them, is about as defensively secure as it sounds, and while full-backs Serge Aurier and Arthur Boka are both fine going forward, their lack of height leaves them vulnerable to back-post crosses (particularly if Gervinho and Kalou don't track the adventurous full-backs they will face in the group stage (yes, even Greece's full-backs will get forward. A bit). Japan are a neat, tidy side with some accomplished players in midfield (Keisuke Honda and Shinji Kagawa being the standouts), while plenty of their number have made their way to the Bundesliga recently. Like Colombia and Ivory Coast, scoring goals shouldn't be the problem for Alberto Zaccheroni's side- it's the defence that causes concern, where both height and a convincing goalkeeper are lacking. Greece, on the other hand, are a much more obdurate, resilient bunch. The tried and tested formula from their historic Euro 2004 triumph has been retained, even though only Giorgios Karagounis remains from that side (and he now plays a completely different role- the former number 10 is now stationed at the base of midfield as a scrapper). There have been a few tweaks to the side since 2004- expect to see the full-backs be given a bit more license to push forward (on the right will be Vasilis Torosidis, who was signed for Roma by Zdenek Zeman. Enoguh said), and the back line probably won't be quite as deep as previously. But the overall gameplan won't change- Greece will be extremely compact and hard-working without the ball, and not over-commit with it, instead hoping to win set-pieces to try and nick games 1-0 (incidentally, 5 of their 12 qualifiers ended with such a scoreline in their favour). If Greece are playing on any given evening, it's probably worth your while spending that afternoon painting a wall, so you've got something more exciting to do when the game starts by watching said Dulux Emulsion dry. It won't be pretty, but there's enough defensive nous (and enough weaknesses in the defences of their group rivals) to see Greece sneak into the second round
BETTING:
Colombia to win Group C: best odds 19/20 with Spreadex
Greece Stage of Elimination Round 2: best odds 7/2 with Coral
Ivory Coast v Japan over 2.5 goals and both teams to score: best odds 7/4 with bet365
GAS MAN! GAS MAN! GAS MAN!
Thursday 12 June 2014
Graeme's Silly Bet World Cup Special: Life Is Life
The Shiftyslastword World Cup preview wouldn't be complete without a contribution from our favourite guest contributor, Graeme of Silly Bet fame:
GRAEME'S SILLY WORLD CUP BETS
I am so fucking excited, gambling is back!
I haven't placed a bet since the final day of the Premier League season, once again I didn't win. Thanks Norwich you shower.
This years World Cup is perfect for me, most games start just after dinner and close just at last orders in the pub. The only downside is that we will all have to watch some Samba themed Ray Winstone 'bet now' shite. These adverts must be paying well for him because they have ruined any chance of him not playing a cock in any future films.
Due to my copious listening to various football podcasts over the past few weeks I feel pretty informed about the state off the respective squads in the World Cup. With their chances and foibles.
Therefore this isn't going to be a silly bet but more an alternative look at who this years winners and losers for me are going to be.
Winner -
Inevitable Dark Horses prediction -
GRAEME'S SILLY WORLD CUP BETS
I am so fucking excited, gambling is back!
I haven't placed a bet since the final day of the Premier League season, once again I didn't win. Thanks Norwich you shower.
This years World Cup is perfect for me, most games start just after dinner and close just at last orders in the pub. The only downside is that we will all have to watch some Samba themed Ray Winstone 'bet now' shite. These adverts must be paying well for him because they have ruined any chance of him not playing a cock in any future films.
Due to my copious listening to various football podcasts over the past few weeks I feel pretty informed about the state off the respective squads in the World Cup. With their chances and foibles.
Therefore this isn't going to be a silly bet but more an alternative look at who this years winners and losers for me are going to be.
Winner -
Inevitable Dark Horses prediction -
Monday 9 June 2014
I Feel So Extraordinary, Something's Got A Hold On Me
We are T minus 3 days from the opening game of the 2014 World Cup, so let's get the remainder of the tournament written up on here. And, given that said opening game is Brazil v Croatia, let's focus this evening's efforts on their group
Brazil: Home Advantage
The bookies all have Brazil as favourites to win the tournament at around the 3/1 mark, and it's more than justified: this is a side that, while not quite as technically outstanding as, say, Spain 2010 or Brazil 1970, and without the iron-willed defence of some of the great Germany and Italy sides to have conquered the world, this is still a very strong, well-balanced side, with a potent mix of youth and experience, without any obvious weaknesses. The generous group they've been offered should allow Luiz Felipe Scolari's side the chance to ease themselves in to the tournament ahead of sterner tests to come in the knockout stage, the first of which will see them face either reigning champions Spain (who Brazil comfortably dismissed 3-0 at the Confederations Cup last year), a youthful, underwhelming Holland, or the wonderfully adventurous yet naïve Chile, all of which would pose a challenge, but one which you'd expect this Brazil side to overcome. Neymar is the obvious star of the side, and will play most often coming from the left into a central role, with Hulk doing likewise from the right. Fred will operate as target man, with Oscar at 10 (although don't be surprised if Scolari brings in an extra DM later in the tournament, especially if Oscar takes his indifferent club form at Chelsea with him into the tournament). They are rightly favourites to win the tournament- indeed, it would be a considerable surprise if they didn't at least the semi-finals. They have everything they need to win.
The Rest
Of the remaining 3 teams in Group A, Croatia have the most tournament experience, Cameroon perhaps the most raw talent, and Mexico a combination of the 2 after their Under 23 side won the Gold Medal at the 2012 Olympics, 10 of whom have made their final 23. That tournament aside, it's notoriously difficult to assess just how good this Mexico side is- much of their side plays in the Mexican league, they don't frequently test themselves against nations outside Central America, and many of the squad that made an almighty mess of their qualifying campaign have been replaced by the 2012 Gold Medal winning generation. Their FIFA ranking of 20 (just below Croatia in 18th, and some way ahead of 56th placed Cameroon) suggests they've got a decent chance of qualifying, but their lack of experience may see them fall just short- the experience should see this young side in good stead for 2018, though. The more things change, they more they stay the same is a mantra that could easily apply to this Cameroon side. The raw talent is there in certain positions, although question marks exist over their discipline- they were extremely physical in a recent 2-2 friendly draw with Germany (more proof of that raw talent), which featured many late, crude challenges, especially from their 3 man central midfield anchored by Barcelona's Alex Song, with Stephan M'Bia and Eyong Enoh among the contenders for the other 2 positions. Maintain the style they demonstrated in that game, and it would be no surprise to see Volker Finke's men pick up a red card in one of their games- they've also only just dealt with their standard dispute with the Cameroonian FA regarding pay. All this leaves Croatia best-placed to make it to the last 16- an immensely talented midfield with Luka Modric joined by the outstanding Ivan Rakitic (set to be on his way to Barcelona from Sevilla) and Inter protégé Mateo Kovacic supplemented by an experienced back 4 and a respectable, if not quite world-class, attack, should see Niko Kovac's men into the knockout stages, although probably not much further.
Group A Bets
Brazil to win the World Cup- best price 3/1 general
Croatia Stage of Elimination Last 16- best price 11/5 with Ladbrokes
Cameroon to commit the most fouls in Group A- best price 5/4 with Paddy Power
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Brazil: Home Advantage
The bookies all have Brazil as favourites to win the tournament at around the 3/1 mark, and it's more than justified: this is a side that, while not quite as technically outstanding as, say, Spain 2010 or Brazil 1970, and without the iron-willed defence of some of the great Germany and Italy sides to have conquered the world, this is still a very strong, well-balanced side, with a potent mix of youth and experience, without any obvious weaknesses. The generous group they've been offered should allow Luiz Felipe Scolari's side the chance to ease themselves in to the tournament ahead of sterner tests to come in the knockout stage, the first of which will see them face either reigning champions Spain (who Brazil comfortably dismissed 3-0 at the Confederations Cup last year), a youthful, underwhelming Holland, or the wonderfully adventurous yet naïve Chile, all of which would pose a challenge, but one which you'd expect this Brazil side to overcome. Neymar is the obvious star of the side, and will play most often coming from the left into a central role, with Hulk doing likewise from the right. Fred will operate as target man, with Oscar at 10 (although don't be surprised if Scolari brings in an extra DM later in the tournament, especially if Oscar takes his indifferent club form at Chelsea with him into the tournament). They are rightly favourites to win the tournament- indeed, it would be a considerable surprise if they didn't at least the semi-finals. They have everything they need to win.
The Rest
Of the remaining 3 teams in Group A, Croatia have the most tournament experience, Cameroon perhaps the most raw talent, and Mexico a combination of the 2 after their Under 23 side won the Gold Medal at the 2012 Olympics, 10 of whom have made their final 23. That tournament aside, it's notoriously difficult to assess just how good this Mexico side is- much of their side plays in the Mexican league, they don't frequently test themselves against nations outside Central America, and many of the squad that made an almighty mess of their qualifying campaign have been replaced by the 2012 Gold Medal winning generation. Their FIFA ranking of 20 (just below Croatia in 18th, and some way ahead of 56th placed Cameroon) suggests they've got a decent chance of qualifying, but their lack of experience may see them fall just short- the experience should see this young side in good stead for 2018, though. The more things change, they more they stay the same is a mantra that could easily apply to this Cameroon side. The raw talent is there in certain positions, although question marks exist over their discipline- they were extremely physical in a recent 2-2 friendly draw with Germany (more proof of that raw talent), which featured many late, crude challenges, especially from their 3 man central midfield anchored by Barcelona's Alex Song, with Stephan M'Bia and Eyong Enoh among the contenders for the other 2 positions. Maintain the style they demonstrated in that game, and it would be no surprise to see Volker Finke's men pick up a red card in one of their games- they've also only just dealt with their standard dispute with the Cameroonian FA regarding pay. All this leaves Croatia best-placed to make it to the last 16- an immensely talented midfield with Luka Modric joined by the outstanding Ivan Rakitic (set to be on his way to Barcelona from Sevilla) and Inter protégé Mateo Kovacic supplemented by an experienced back 4 and a respectable, if not quite world-class, attack, should see Niko Kovac's men into the knockout stages, although probably not much further.
Group A Bets
Brazil to win the World Cup- best price 3/1 general
Croatia Stage of Elimination Last 16- best price 11/5 with Ladbrokes
Cameroon to commit the most fouls in Group A- best price 5/4 with Paddy Power
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Sunday 1 June 2014
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With just 11 days to go until the start of the World Cup, let's have a look at another of the groups. Which team are potential winners? Who will probably get out of the group but not get much further? Who's going home early? Let's have a look at Group E
France: Rare Harmony
When one thinks of France at tournaments, one thinks of talented yet combustible, enigmatic bunches of players- witness their shambolic campaign in South Africa in 2010, and the mutinous atmosphere that underpinned many previous tournaments, where senior players effectively ran the show in the absence of a strong manager. The significantly younger crew that Didier Deschamps is taking to Brazil has all the talent of their predecessors and then some, but are a far more harmonious, well-balanced bunch. Qualifying for the tournament may not have gone smoothly, yet they demonstrated their mental fortitude by overturning a 2-0 deficit to Ukraine in their play-off. They'll play 4-3-3, with an exciting blend of youth and experience throughout. Hugo Lloris will captain the team in goal- the Spurs keeper is one of the finest in Europe, and one of the few from his club to emerge with any credit from a fairly shambolic season. Patrice Evra has served his time over his role in 2010 and retains his place at left-back- PSG's Lucas Digne travels to Brazil as his deputy, and should eventually succeed him. Central defence should see Mamadou Sakho, 2 goal hero of that play-off victory, paired with Real Madrid's excellent youngster Raphael Varane, with Mathieu Debuchy should get the nod over Bacary Sagna. The midfield is genuinely excellent and one of the finest at the World Cup, featuring PSG team-mates Blaise Matuidi and Yohan Cabaye alongside the outstanding young powerhouse Paul Pogba (yeah, Mr Ferguson, he actually is as good as he thinks he is)- Matuidi will provide the defensive screening to allow Cabaye to provide the creativity and clever probing and Pogba the power and thrust. The front 3 aren't bad, either- Karim Benzema has hit a purple patch of form at just the right time (with Olivier Giroud as a more than capable backup option), with Franck Ribery providing service from one flank, and the diminutive genius Mathieu Valbuena set to get the nod on the other (Real Sociedad's Antoine Griezmann is an exciting wildcard option off the bench). Providing they get the job done and top the group, a favourable last-16 tie should be awaiting them, ahead of a potential quarter-final with Germany.
The Rest: Neat, Tidy, Cosmopolitan and Goalless
Switzerland, Ecuador and Honduras make up the rest of Group E. Their official ranking of 7th is about as credible as, well, most things FIFA have their pawprints on these days, but the Swiss should still progress from the group. They're a decent side with the exciting generation who got to the final of the 2011 European Under 21 Championship, among them that tournament's star player Xherdan Shaqiri, Admir Mehmedi, Granit Xhaka and Yann Sommer (plus 3 of the 7 standby players), starting to break through at full international level, plus a number of good-but-not-quite-world-class players who are regulars in Europe's top leagues. The legendary Ottmar Hitzfeld, for whom retirement beckons after the tournament, will lead this cosmopolitan crew (many of the players, Shaqiri, Xhaka and Napoli's Gokhan Inler among them, have dual citizenship) to Brazil. Shaqiri struggled for regular game time at Bayern Munchen this season, but he remains a key player for the Swiss, and will probably start on the right of a 4-2-3-1 system, and look to come inside on his left foot. The group itself is fairly kind on Switzerland, and qualification is to be expected. What's less kind, however, is that they're likely to face Argentina in round 2.
Having not appeared at a single World Cup before 2002, Ecuador have now qualified for 3 of the last 4 World Cups, reaching the 2nd round in 2006. Matching that this time round, however, could well be beyond them. Their record during qualifying makes for interesting reading- unbeaten at home, yet not a single victory away (they play home qualifiers at altitude)- they also suffered the tragic loss of key frontman Christian Benitez. They'll probably be better equipped to deal with the oppressive heat the teams will face in Brazil (they play Switzerland at 1pm local time on June 15th, when conditions are supposedly the toughest), but it's difficult to see them having enough firepower in Benitez's absence to make real progress.
Honduras are very much the outsiders of the group, and indeed one of the weakest teams at the entire tournament. There are few familiar faces in the squad (or at least few that will be familiar to anyone that doesn't follow Wigan Athletic), and they have struggled for goals (only managing 13 in 10 Central American qualifying games). There are some survivor from their 2010 World Cup campaign (where they managed a goalless draw with Switzerland after defeats to Chile and Spain), but it would be a major shock if they were to pose any threat to France and Switzerland.
Here's a few Group E-based punts for y'all to look at:
France to reach the quarter finals: best price 11/10 with Boylesports
Straight forecast: France-Switzerland-Ecuador-Honduras best price 2/1 with Bwin
Honduras v Ecuador Under 2.5 goals best price 3/4 with Bet Victor
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With just 11 days to go until the start of the World Cup, let's have a look at another of the groups. Which team are potential winners? Who will probably get out of the group but not get much further? Who's going home early? Let's have a look at Group E
France: Rare Harmony
When one thinks of France at tournaments, one thinks of talented yet combustible, enigmatic bunches of players- witness their shambolic campaign in South Africa in 2010, and the mutinous atmosphere that underpinned many previous tournaments, where senior players effectively ran the show in the absence of a strong manager. The significantly younger crew that Didier Deschamps is taking to Brazil has all the talent of their predecessors and then some, but are a far more harmonious, well-balanced bunch. Qualifying for the tournament may not have gone smoothly, yet they demonstrated their mental fortitude by overturning a 2-0 deficit to Ukraine in their play-off. They'll play 4-3-3, with an exciting blend of youth and experience throughout. Hugo Lloris will captain the team in goal- the Spurs keeper is one of the finest in Europe, and one of the few from his club to emerge with any credit from a fairly shambolic season. Patrice Evra has served his time over his role in 2010 and retains his place at left-back- PSG's Lucas Digne travels to Brazil as his deputy, and should eventually succeed him. Central defence should see Mamadou Sakho, 2 goal hero of that play-off victory, paired with Real Madrid's excellent youngster Raphael Varane, with Mathieu Debuchy should get the nod over Bacary Sagna. The midfield is genuinely excellent and one of the finest at the World Cup, featuring PSG team-mates Blaise Matuidi and Yohan Cabaye alongside the outstanding young powerhouse Paul Pogba (yeah, Mr Ferguson, he actually is as good as he thinks he is)- Matuidi will provide the defensive screening to allow Cabaye to provide the creativity and clever probing and Pogba the power and thrust. The front 3 aren't bad, either- Karim Benzema has hit a purple patch of form at just the right time (with Olivier Giroud as a more than capable backup option), with Franck Ribery providing service from one flank, and the diminutive genius Mathieu Valbuena set to get the nod on the other (Real Sociedad's Antoine Griezmann is an exciting wildcard option off the bench). Providing they get the job done and top the group, a favourable last-16 tie should be awaiting them, ahead of a potential quarter-final with Germany.
The Rest: Neat, Tidy, Cosmopolitan and Goalless
Switzerland, Ecuador and Honduras make up the rest of Group E. Their official ranking of 7th is about as credible as, well, most things FIFA have their pawprints on these days, but the Swiss should still progress from the group. They're a decent side with the exciting generation who got to the final of the 2011 European Under 21 Championship, among them that tournament's star player Xherdan Shaqiri, Admir Mehmedi, Granit Xhaka and Yann Sommer (plus 3 of the 7 standby players), starting to break through at full international level, plus a number of good-but-not-quite-world-class players who are regulars in Europe's top leagues. The legendary Ottmar Hitzfeld, for whom retirement beckons after the tournament, will lead this cosmopolitan crew (many of the players, Shaqiri, Xhaka and Napoli's Gokhan Inler among them, have dual citizenship) to Brazil. Shaqiri struggled for regular game time at Bayern Munchen this season, but he remains a key player for the Swiss, and will probably start on the right of a 4-2-3-1 system, and look to come inside on his left foot. The group itself is fairly kind on Switzerland, and qualification is to be expected. What's less kind, however, is that they're likely to face Argentina in round 2.
Having not appeared at a single World Cup before 2002, Ecuador have now qualified for 3 of the last 4 World Cups, reaching the 2nd round in 2006. Matching that this time round, however, could well be beyond them. Their record during qualifying makes for interesting reading- unbeaten at home, yet not a single victory away (they play home qualifiers at altitude)- they also suffered the tragic loss of key frontman Christian Benitez. They'll probably be better equipped to deal with the oppressive heat the teams will face in Brazil (they play Switzerland at 1pm local time on June 15th, when conditions are supposedly the toughest), but it's difficult to see them having enough firepower in Benitez's absence to make real progress.
Honduras are very much the outsiders of the group, and indeed one of the weakest teams at the entire tournament. There are few familiar faces in the squad (or at least few that will be familiar to anyone that doesn't follow Wigan Athletic), and they have struggled for goals (only managing 13 in 10 Central American qualifying games). There are some survivor from their 2010 World Cup campaign (where they managed a goalless draw with Switzerland after defeats to Chile and Spain), but it would be a major shock if they were to pose any threat to France and Switzerland.
Here's a few Group E-based punts for y'all to look at:
France to reach the quarter finals: best price 11/10 with Boylesports
Straight forecast: France-Switzerland-Ecuador-Honduras best price 2/1 with Bwin
Honduras v Ecuador Under 2.5 goals best price 3/4 with Bet Victor
BN BISCUITS ARE BACK!
86 STICKERS NEEDED TO COMPLETE THE WORLD CUP STICKER BOOK
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