Thursday 30 April 2009

Mallorca v Getafe, Sunday May 3rd

My Thoughts

Two teams currently experiencing differing runs of form. Mallorca have lost just 1 of their last 12 games, and are unbeaten at home since January, a run of form that has seen them move up to 9th in La Liga, although they are probably a bit too far away to challenge for a Europa League place. Getafe, on the other hand, are in freefall: 2 wins since February have seen them slip to 17th in La Liga, just 1 point above the relegation zone, which has led to the departure of coach Victor Munoz, who has been replaced by former Spain international Michel (scorer of a hat-trick at Italia 90 against South Korea). Games between these 2 sides tend to be high-scoring- their last 7 league meetings (which have resulted in 4 Mallorca wins, 2 Getafe wins and 1 draw) have produced 27 goals, an average of 3.85 per game. With Mallorca having scored in every league game since February, and Getafe having kept clean sheets in only 12% of their games this season, this game could also produce goals.

The Verdict
Given their recent records, this game has home win written all over it. The only cause for concern would be the "new manager" effect Michel may have on Getafe, although given his not-so-stellar previous record in management (sacked after 1 season with both Rayo Vallecano and Castilla), question marks may well be raised about his capabilities to arrest Getafe's slide. Home win

The Bet
Mallorca are available outright at a very respectable 15/13 with expekt.com. Alternatively, over 2.5 goals with bet365.com should be considered

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