Wednesday 6 May 2009

Blackburn Rovers v Portsmouth, Saturday 9th May

My Thoughts

Two sides here who probably should be just about safe, but aren't quite there yet. Should either side emerge with all 3 points at Ewood Park on Saturday, however, then they can surely be confident of avoiding league away trips to Plymouth, Barnsley and Peterborough next season. Under Sam Allardyce, Blackburn have undergone something of a revolution, becoming a side who are (usually) tough to beat, if not exactly aesthetically pleasing, however this writer will refrain from that debate for another day. Portsmouth are not too different, with Paul Hart's appointment as caretaker manager coinciding with an improvement in form, although away from Fratton Park they have not won since November, a 2-1 victory at Sunderland 1 of only 2 away wins all season, although it remains to be seen how much pressure their backline will face should Sam Allardyce continue his "Christopher Samba as a centre-forward" experiment.

The Verdict
Both sides know that a win here should all but confirm their Premier League status- however, given Portsmouth's poor away form, and Rovers' new-found solidity under Allardyce, I fancy Blackburn to edge this one.

The Bet
Rovers can be backed at a best price of 21/20 with Paddy Power. Alternatively, under 2.5 goals might be worth a look at a general 8/11

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