My Thoughts
After a week of international football, it's back to league business for these two in the 2nd Claret and Blue Derby of the season. Both sides should be realtively fresh going into this one- neither side had many players away on international duty. Burnley's current 10th position in the league is based on their excellent home form (5-0-1), with only Wigan's trip to Turf Moor last month resulting in a home defeat. By the same token, though, their away form is terrible (0-1-5). One aspect of their home record to take into consideration is that they have yet to win at home against a good side in good form- when Everton were defeated 1-0, they were still recovering from their 6-1 destruction at the hands of Arsenal, and the Manchester United side defeated at Turf Moor was some way short of top form. One must also take note of how unfortunate Hull City were to lose 2-0 against Owen Coyle's men, due to a number of questionable refereeing decisions that day. Aston Villa's away form over the last 2 seasons has always been respectable; indeed, many feel that their counter-attacking style is better suited to playing away from Villa Park, and has led to them already clinching away wins at Anfield and St Andrews.
The Verdict
This looks like being one of the more interesting matches of a Premier League weekend which features what will no doubt be edge-of-the-seat thrillers such as Stoke v Portsmouth and Blackburn v Bolton. Villa are actually due an away win- they have not won in their last 4 league away games, and go into this one fresh off the back of stuffing Burnley's Lancashire rivals Bolton 5-1. With Gabriel Agbonlahor rediscovering his goalscoring touch (and up against a defence that has already conceded 25 Premier League goals), this writer fancies Villa to win this one
The Bet
Aston Villa can be backed to win outright at a best price of 5/4 with Skybet. Alternatively, if you fancy backing Gabriel Agbonlahor, he can be backed to score anytime at a best price of 2/1 with Coral, or for a slightly more random anytime scorer, 4 of Villa's 8 Premier League goalscorers this season have been defenders- Stephen Warnock's yet to get in on that action, though- the ex-Blackburn left-back can be backed to score anytime against his old club's biggest local rivals at 12/1 with Skybet
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