Showing posts with label gambling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gambling. Show all posts

Saturday, 9 May 2009

And that was the weekend...

Turns out I was mad backing Real Madrid. Anyway, here's a round-up of how my selections got on, usual rules apply:

Blackburn to win @ 21/20 - 1 unit returns 2.05
Under 2.5 goals @ 8/11 - 1 unit returns 1.73 (boy was I glad John Utaka skied that late penalty)
Stuttgart to win @ 13/10 - 1 unit returns 2.3
Mario Gomez to score @ 15/8 - 1 unit returns 2.88
Bolton v Sunderland draw @ 12/5 - 1 unit returns 3.4
Under 2.5 goals @ 4/6 - 1 unit returns 1.67
Real Madrid to win @ 2/1 - 1 unit returns 0
David Villa to score @ 6/4 - 1 unit returns 0
Gonzalo Higuain to score @ 23/10 - 1 unit returns 0
Hertha Berlin to win @ 6/10 - 1 unit returns 1.6

Total outlay: 10 units
Total return: 15.63 units
Total profit: 5.63 units
Return / outlay: 156.3%

That's more like it. Next weekend's games will appear in dribs and drabs from Wednesday onwards

Sunday, 26 April 2009

And that was the weekend

Thought I'd add a little feature to the blog. I figured that seeing as I recommend all these bets, I might as well start a running total to see if following all the tips would prove to be profitable.
Quick couple of bits of housekeeping to clear up. I'll be taking a running total of ALL the bets for a given weekend I recommend (i.e. those where I have quoted the odds. Those will be the odds used). I'll also be keeping the stake constant at 1 unit. Here goes:

Wolfsburg to beat Cottbus @ 4/6 - 1 unit returns 0
Fulham to beat Stoke @ 4/5 - 1 unit returns 1.8
Mark Schwarzer to keep a clean sheet @ 6/5 - 1 unit returns 2.2
Felipe Massa to win (each way) @ 33/1 - 1 unit returns 0
Everton v Manchester City draw @ 5/2 - 1 unit returns 0
Robinho to score anytime @ 11/4 - 1 unit returns 3.75
Real Madrid to beat Sevilla @ 9/5 - 1 unit returns 2.8
Over 3.5 goals @ 2/1 - 1 unit returns 3
Over 4.5 goals @ 9/2 - 1 unit returns 5.5
Hat-trick being scored @ 24/5 - 1 unit returns 5.8
Gonzalo Higuain to score the last goal @ 6/1 - 1 unit returns 0
Birmingham to beat Preston @ 5/6 - 1 unit returns 0
Under 2.5 goals @ 4/6 - 1 unit returns 0

Total outlay: 13 units
Total return: 24.85 units
Profit: 11.85 units
Return/outlay: 191%

Tuesday, 21 April 2009

Energie Cottbus v Wolfsburg, Sunday 26th April

My Thoughts

Wolfsburg are flying right now- top of the Bundesliga, 10 wins in a row, Grafite scoring goals for fun, Felix Magath's side have given themselves a real chance of winning the title in what has been an extremely close-fought title race. Cottbus, on the other hand, are firmly entrenched in a relegation battle, and face a real task in trying to get anything from the clash at the Stadion auf Freundshaft (Stadium of Friendship. No, really). Their recent form is poor: only 2 wins from their last 8 games, and the reverse fixture in November resulted in a comfortable 3-0 win for Wolfsburg.

The Verdict
It's extremely difficult to see past Wolfsburg winning here. Although they have only 4 away wins under their belts this season, those were their last 4 games, including a 2-1 win away at Cottbus' relegation rivals Borussia Monchengladbach. With no UEFA Cup campaign to distract them, Wolfsburg should be at full-strength, and should win here. Away win

The Bet
Wolfsburg to win (best price 4/6 with Betfred). The reason I'm posting this so far in advance is because I don't expect this price to last. I really cannot overstate how good a price I think this is