This Old Chestnut, and some other tips

A few tips coming up, along with an old favourite topic of mine:

England v Montenegro, Tuesday 12th October
Regular readers of this blog will know my feelings about the odds offered on England games, and once again they have gone far too short in their pricing for this game, with England at a general 1/4. Montenegro, despite their lack of experience competing as an independent nation, are not the minnows their 5th seeding for these qualifiers suggests. They are currently ranked 40th in the world (only 3 places below that world footballing superpower the Czech Republic), and have won all 3 of their games in this group so far, putting them well in contention for at least 2nd place in the group. They can be backed outright at a general 14/1, with the draw available at 11/2 with totesport- both are worth a small flutter, or alternatively one should be able to lay England at somewhere close to 4/1. Also, on the handicap market, Montenegro +2 appeals, and if you shop around you should find this bet available above evens. Finally, if you're looking for a couple of anytime goalscorers, then have a wee punt on Steven Gerrard (13/8 with Boylesports), who should be free from the general malaise affecting his club side, and Montenegro's main goal threat, short-lifing Roma striker Mirko Vucinic (19/4 with Unibet)

Ah, international midweeks. Finding value here is extremely difficult, particularly this week, which seems to have even more big team v little team matches than usual. One could fairly safely populate their coupon with Turkey, Germany, Czech Republic, Portugal and France, but there are a few interesting bets out there. Italy are a very tempting 5/6 with Unitbet to win at home to a Serbia side just off the back of a 3-1 home defeat to Estonia, while the general 4/6 on Russia to win in Macedonia should also be snapped up. A final, more speculative punt would be to back in-form Austria at a general 4/1 to win away at inconsistent and inexperienced Belgium. Tuck in, folks

Weekend Betting 3rd-4th September

Now, because some bright spark at UEFA thought that moving international qualifiers from Saturdays and Wednesdays to Fridays and Tuesdays (meaning that this writer msut endeavour to get away from work on time 2 nights as opposed to just 1, and can't enjoy very much pre-match bevvying at all), getting the weekend tips up on Friday simply will not do. So here are a few matches to keep an eye on this weekend (well, Friday):

• As ever, finding value among the qualifying matches is difficult, with many matches expected to be particularly one-sided- for instance, Serbia, Holland, Spain and Russia should all see off minnows Faroe Islands (for whom Ross County centre-back Atli Gregersen should feature), San Marino, Liechtenstein and Andorra respectively
• Still not great value, but Germany are available at a general 4/7 to win away in Belgium, who despite boasting a number of talented individuals, have been rather inconsistent in recent years
• Blue Square also offer 4/7 on Slovakia to beat FYR Macedonia at home- surprisingly generous considering Vladimir Weiss' men getting to the last 16 of the World Cup. 4/7 is a good price considering FYR Macedonia's lack of top-level talent to complement Inter forward Goran Pandev
• Norway impressed in a 2-1 friendly win over France last month, and are available at 10/11 with Betfred to win away to an Iceland side from whom they took 4 points during World Cup qualification. Striker Erik Huseklepp was particularly impressive against France, scoring twice, and he can be backed at a best price of 15/2 with Victor Chandler to score 1st in Reykjavik
• England should be nowhere near as short as the 3/10 general that they are currently quoted at. A much better bet is the half-time draw at 6/4

And remember: Bet safely. Bet Shifty