Friday 21 August 2009

Arsenal v Portsmouth, Saturday 22nd August

My Thoughts

Given the starts that these two sides have made, this one looks like a nailed-on home banker. Expect the home team to appear on numerous accumulators this weekend. In midweek, Arsenal benefitted again from a switch to a 4-3-3 system this season, with more than a hint of an influence coming from the system with which Barcelona were so spectacularly successful last season: constant interchanging of the front players, midfielders such as Fabregas and Denilson carrying the team forward from the centre of the park, and aggressive pressing of the ball by the forward line. Portsmouth, on the other hand, looked unadventurous and have failed to impress in 1-0 defeats so far to Fulham and Birmingham, and it is difficult to see them doing much other than going for an exercise in damage limitation, especially given that the last time they won away from home in the Premier League, George Bush was President of the USA.

The Verdict
It's difficult to predict anything other than a home win. Arsenal traditionally always start well before going up north in winter and finding that they don't like it up 'em. However, that's for the future. As for the game on Saturday, home win, and a comfortable one at that should Arsenal break the deadlock early enough.

The Bet
There's not much value in backing Arsenal outright on a single (1/6 with Blue Square). Best to look at other markets. Cesc Fabregas has been outstanding so far this season, and could be a shout as anytime goalscorer, otherwise it's worth considering over 2.5 goals, as games between these sides have tended to produce goals.

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