Tuesday 16 June 2009

Spain v Iraq, Wednesday 7th June

My Thoughts

Going into the tournament, there was little doubt that, if they were anywhere near top form, Spain would win this group. Any lingering doubt was banished after 17 minutes of their opening game against New Zealand. Despite the 5-0 scoreline, New Zealand will still fancy their chances of making the semi finals, having seen a poor South Africa and a slightly worse Iraq grind out an eye-watering 0-0 draw in the tournament's opening game. Iraq were rather cautious in that one, and this writer expects them to be even more so against arguably the best international side on the planet. Against New Zealand, Spain were scintillating early on, running up 4 goals in no time, before easing off, although they could have easily scored more, and would probably have done so had the standside linesman actually been watching the game.

The Verdict
If there was one glimmer of hope for New Zealand in their game against Spain, it was that they at least bothered the Spanish back line occasionally, particularly from set pieces. However, don't expect Iraq to press the ball high up the park- their coach, the veteran Bora Milutinovic (got it in one) probaly only has to decide whether to park 10 or 11 men behind the ball. But expect players of the quality of Xavi, Villa, Torres and Fabregas to be able to move the ball quickly, fluently, and record a comfortable victory. Spain to win.

The Bet
Who says one can only bet on the football from August to May? At 1/14, there's little point backing Spain. Therefore, it's best to have a look at other markets. 3-0 Spain at 11/2 with Victor Chandler is worth considering. Under normal circumstances, it's difficult to see David Villa and Fernando Torres not scoring- both are available at 8/13 with William Hill

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